A survey conducted September 20-24 by NSON Opinion Strategy places Johnson ahead of the Republican by 18 percentage points — and 7 points behind the incumbent. The NSON poll of 932 likely voters has Heinrich at 35%, Johnson at 28% and Rich at 10%, with 26% undecided. (For more information click here)
Likewise a weekly auto-dial tracking poll by In Lux Research shows Governor Gary Johnson leading the Republican candidate in the New Mexico U.S. Senate race by 18 points and only 10 points behind the incumbent Democrat. Results from the tracking study September 16 and 17 put the incumbent Martin Heinrich at 38%, Johnson at 28% and the Republican, Mick Rich, at 10%, with 24% undecided.
Both surveys use widely accepted methods to identify and include responses from voters who are engaged and likely to vote in the November election.
Commenting on the polls, NSON’s, RT Nielson said, “These results, more than six weeks before the election, show the New Mexico senate race to be very much in play. New Mexico voted for Hillary Clinton two years ago by a wide margin and now we see Heinrich in a very vulnerable position. Gov. Gary Johnson now has a realistic possibility of winning this election. ”
“Across the country, primary elections have shown voters to be very engaged and motivated, a factor some polls have failed to capture. Millennials and independent voters tend to be ‘under-counted’, and those are both groups with whom Governor Johnson appears to be doing very well.”